Now showing items 1-3 of 3

    • National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021 

      Bracher, Johannes; Wolffram, Danie; Deuschel, Jannik; Görgen, Konstantin; Ketterer, Jakob L.; Ullrich, Alexander; Abbott, Sam; Barbarossa, Maria V.; Bertsimas, Dimitris; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Bodych, Marcin; Bosse, Nikos I.; Burgard, Jan Pablo; Castro, Lauren; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Fiedler, Jochen; Fuhrmann, Jan; Funk, Sebastian; Gambin, Anna; Gogolewski, Krzysztof; Heyder, Stefan; Hotz, Thomas; Kheifetz, Yuri; Kirsten, Holger; Krueger, Tyll; Krymova, Ekaterina; Leithäuser, Neele; Li, Michael L.; Meinke, Jan H.; Miasojedow, Błażej; Michaud, Isaac J.; Mohring, Jan; Nouvellet, Pierre; Nowosielski, Jędrzej M.; Ozanski, Tomasz; Radwan, Maciej; Rakowski, Franciszek; Scholz, Markus; Soni, Saksham; Srivastava, Ajitesh; Gneiting, Tilmann; Schienle, Melanie (Springer Nature, 2022)
      Background: During the COVID-19 pandemic there has been a strong interest in forecasts ofthe short-term development of epidemiological indicators to inform decision makers. In thisstudy we evaluate probabilistic real-time ...
    • A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave 

      Bracher, Johannes; Wolffram, Daniel; Deuschel, Jannik; Görgen, Konstantin; Ketterer, Jakob L.; Ullrich, Alexander; Abbott, Sam; Barbarossa, Maria Vittoria; Bertsimas, Dimitris; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Bodych, Marcin; Bosse, Nikos I.; Burgard, Jan Pablo; Castro, Lauren; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Fuhrmann, Jan; Funk, Sebastian; Gogolewski, Krzysztof; Gu, Quanquan; Heyder, Stefan; Hotz, Thomas; Kheifetz, Yuri; Kirsten, Holger; Krueger, Tyll; Krymova, Ekaterina; Li, Michael Lingzhi; Meinke, Jan H.; Michaud, Isaac; Niedzielewski, Karol; Ożański, Tomasz; Rakowski, Franciszek; Scholz, Markus; Soni, Saksham; Srivastava, Ajitesh; Zielinski, Jakub; Zou, Difan; Gneiting, Tilmann; Schienle, Melanie (Springer Nature, 2021)
      Disease modelling has had considerable policy impact during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, and it is increasingly acknowledged that combining multiple models can improve the reliability of outputs. Here we report insights ...
    • Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations 

      Sherratt, Katharine; Gruson, Hugo; Grah, Rok; Johnson, Helen; Niehus, Rene; Prasse, Bastian; Sandmann, Frank; Deuschel, Jannik; Wolffram, Daniel; Abbott, Sam; Ullrich, Alexander; Gibson, Graham; Ray, Evan L; Reich, Nicholas G; Sheldon, Daniel; Wang, Yijin; Wattanachit, Nutcha; Wang, Lijing; Trnka, Jan; Obozinski, Guillaume; Sun, Tao; Thanou, Dorina; Pottier, Loic; Krymova, Ekaterina; Meinke, Jan H; Barbarossa, Maria Vittoria; Leithauser, Neele; Mohring, Jan; Schneider, Johanna; Wlazlo, Jaroslaw; Fuhrmann, Jan; Lange, Berit; Rodiah, Isti; Baccam, Prasith; Gurung, Heidi; Stage, Steven; Suchoski, Bradley; Budzinski, Jozef; Walraven, Robert; Villanueva, Inmaculada; Tucek, Vit; Smid, Martin; Zajicek, Milan; Perez Alvarez, Cesar; Reina, Borja; Bosse, Nikos I; Meakin, Sophie R; Castro, Lauren; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Michaud, Isaac; Osthus, Dave; Alaimo Di Loro, Pierfrancesco; Maruotti, Antonello; Eclerova, Veronika; Kraus, Andrea; Kraus, David; Pribylova, Lenka; Dimitris, Bertsimas; Li, Michael Lingzhi; Saksham, Soni; Dehning, Jonas; Mohr, Sebastian; Priesemann, Viola; Redlarski, Grzegorz; Bejar, Benjamin; Ardenghi, Giovanni; Parolini, Nicola; Ziarelli, Giovanni; Bock, Wolfgang; Heyder, Stefan; Hotz, Thomas; Singh, David E; Guzman- Merino, Miguel; Aznarte, Jose L; Morina, David; Alonso, Sergio; Alvarez, Enric; Lopez, Daniel; Prats, Clara; Burgard, Jan Pablo; Rodloff, Arne; Zimmermann, Tom; Kuhlmann, Alexander; Zibert, Janez; Pennoni, Fulvia; Divino, Fabio; Catala, Marti; Lovison, Gianfranco; Giudici, Paolo; Tarantino, Barbara; Bartolucci, Francesco; Lasinio, Giovanna Jona; Mingione, Marco; Farcomeni, Alessio; Srivastava, Ajitesh; Montero-Manso, Pablo; Adiga, Aniruddha; Hurt, Benjamin; Lewis, Bryan; Marathe, Madhav; Porebski, Przemyslaw; Venkatramanan, Srinivasan; Bartczuk, Rafal P; Dreger, Filip; Gambin, Anna; Gogolewski, Krzysztof; Gruziel-Slomka, Magdalena; Krupa, Bartosz; Moszyński, Antoni; Niedzielewski, Karol; Nowosielski, Jedrzej; Radwan, Maciej; Rakowski, Franciszek; Semeniuk, Marcin; Szczurek, Ewa; Zielinski, Jakub; Kisielewski, Jan; Pabjan, Barbara; Holger, Kirsten; Kheifetz, Yuri; Scholz, Markus; Biecek, Przemyslaw; Bodych, Marcin; Filinski, Maciej; Idzikowski, Radoslaw; Krueger, Tyll; Ozanski, Tomasz; Bracher, Johannes; Funk, Sebastian (eLife Sciences Publications Ltd., 2023-06-02)
      Background: Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, ...